Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Novigrad: result 2-0 and analysis
First NLMatchday 11Kick-off on October 14, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, Zagreb
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What was the result of Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Novigrad?
Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2-0 on October 14, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Hrvatski Dragovoljac have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Novigrad have 4, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Solin(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Oct 2, 2016 | NK Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Sesvete(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 24, 2016 | HNK Gorica(away) | 0-4 | First NL |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Imotski(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Dugopolje(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Solin(away) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Sep 28, 2016 | NK Zagreb(away) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Lucko(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Rudes(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Hrvatski Dragovoljac score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 10; Novigrad score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/10 | 3/10 |
| Novigrad | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy