Humenné vs Petržalka: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Chemlonský štadión, Humenné
The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Petržalka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humenné vs Petržalka?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Humenné (1,738) and Petržalka (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humenné have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Petržalka have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Snina(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nová Dedinka(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tatran Prešov(home) | 4-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 3-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 4-0 | 2. liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 2-0 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Humenné win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Petržalka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Humenné 1-1 Petržalka | 2. liga |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Petržalka 2-1 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Humenné 0-2 Petržalka | 2. liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Petržalka 2-1 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Petržalka 0-0 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Humenné 1-1 Petržalka | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Humenné score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Petržalka score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humenné | 2.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Petržalka | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humenné sit 10th in 2. liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Petržalka sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Humenné | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humenné vs Petržalka?
- The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Petržalka.
- Where and when is Humenné vs Petržalka played?
- Humenné vs Petržalka is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chemlonský štadión, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.