Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Velká Bíteš the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Humpolec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš?
Velká Bíteš starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,671 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Velká Bíteš have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Humpolec(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(home) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blansko(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Humpolec win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Velká Bíteš win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Humpolec 0-2 Velká Bíteš | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Humpolec 3-2 Velká Bíteš | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Velká Bíteš 1-3 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| May 3, 2025 | Humpolec 2-4 Velká Bíteš | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Velká Bíteš 2-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Humpolec 1-2 Velká Bíteš | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Velká Bíteš score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Velká Bíteš | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Velká Bíteš sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Velká Bíteš | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Velká Bíteš | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš?
- The Footlab model makes Velká Bíteš the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Humpolec.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš played?
- Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.