Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 7Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, Ibiza
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Arenal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Not enough data to predict the Ibiza Islas Pitiusas lineup.
Arenal
4-3-3- DDavid García Movilla
- CChino
- TToni Arrom
- JJuan José
- MMarc Bonet
- JJuan Carlos Gómez Sintes
- DDavid GarcÃa
- DDani Amengual
- SSantiago Soler Quert
- JJuanca
- LLluc Ramis
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arenal have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Constància(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins, 0 draws, 0 Arenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 4-0 Arenal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Arenal 0-2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arenal score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arenal | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (18 points from 8 matches) and Arenal sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 17 | Arenal | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Arenal.
- Where and when is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal played?
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.