Iceland vs Wales: result 2-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
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What was the result of Iceland vs Wales?
Iceland and Wales drew 2-2 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′B. JohnsonWales
- 29′H. WilsonWales
- 69′L. TómassonIceland
- 72′D. WardIceland (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Wales have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Türkiye(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Montenegro(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Netherlands(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2024 | England(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Ukraine(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Montenegro(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Slovakia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Gibraltar(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Poland(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Iceland score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Wales | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy