Illueca vs Almudévar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Papa Luna, Illueca
The Footlab model makes Illueca the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Almudévar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illueca vs Almudévar?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Illueca (1,674) and Almudévar (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illueca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Almudévar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cariñena(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calamocha(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Illueca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Almudévar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almudévar 0-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Illueca 0-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Illueca 1-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Almudévar 0-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Illueca 0-4 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Almudévar 4-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Illueca score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almudévar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illueca | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Almudévar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illueca sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (38 points from 34 matches) and Almudévar sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almudévar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
| 12 | Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illueca vs Almudévar?
- The Footlab model makes Illueca the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Almudévar.
- Where and when is Illueca vs Almudévar played?
- Illueca vs Almudévar is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Papa Luna, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.