Ilukstes NSS vs Liepājas Metalurgs: result 1-2 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 15, 2013 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions, Ilūkste
Full time
What was the result of Ilukstes NSS vs Liepājas Metalurgs?
Liepājas Metalurgs won 1-2 on May 15, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 35′Yôki KumadaIlukstes NSS
- 39′Antons JemeļinsLiepājas Metalurgs (pen.)
- 77′Antons JemeļinsLiepājas Metalurgs (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilukstes NSS have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Liepājas Metalurgs have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2013 | Daugava Rīga(away) | 0-4 | Virsliga |
| Apr 29, 2013 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Jelgava(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Apr 12, 2013 | FC Jūrmala(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Skonto(away) | 0-5 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2013 | Spartaks Jurmala(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Apr 26, 2013 | Jelgava(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Daugavpils / Progress(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 13, 2013 | FK Ventspils(home) | 3-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Daugava Rīga(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilukstes NSS score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liepājas Metalurgs score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilukstes NSS | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Liepājas Metalurgs | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy