Imst vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 21Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Velly Arena Imst, Imst
The Footlab model makes Imst the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Kitzbühel. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Imst vs Kitzbühel?
Imst starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Imst have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swarovski Tirol II(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Imst win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Imst 2-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kitzbühel 0-2 Imst | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Kitzbühel 0-1 Imst | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Imst 4-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Imst 4-1 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Kitzbühel 1-1 Imst | Regionalliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
Imst score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imst | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Imst sit 1st in Regionalliga - West (12 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imst | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Imst vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Imst the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Kitzbühel.
- Where and when is Imst vs Kitzbühel played?
- Imst vs Kitzbühel is played on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Velly Arena Imst, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.