Incheon United vs Gwangju FC: result 1-0 and analysis
K League 1Relegation Round - 2Kick-off on October 27, 2024 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Full time
What was the result of Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
Incheon United won 1-0 on October 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 25′S. MugošaIncheon United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Incheon United have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gwangju FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Jeju United FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Gangwon FC(home) | 1-3 | K League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Daegu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | FC Seoul(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Incheon United win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Gwangju FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2024 | Gwangju FC 0-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| May 25, 2024 | Incheon United 1-1 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Gwangju FC 2-3 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gwangju FC 0-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Incheon United 2-2 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Incheon United 1-1 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gwangju FC vs Incheon United on Jul 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Incheon United score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gwangju FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gwangju FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Incheon United sit 6th in K League 1 (33 points from 23 matches) and Gwangju FC sit 12th (11 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 33 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy