Incheon United vs Gwangju FC: result 0-1 and analysis
K League 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on May 22, 2016 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Full time
What was the result of Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
Gwangju FC won 0-1 on May 22, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 90′Kim Min-HyeokGwangju FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Incheon United have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gwangju FC have 3, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2016 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| May 5, 2016 | Jeonnam Dragons(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| May 1, 2016 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2016 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| May 1, 2016 | Seongnam FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2016 | FC Seoul(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Incheon United score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 10; Gwangju FC score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/10 | 4/10 |
| Gwangju FC | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Incheon United sit 6th in K League 1 (33 points from 23 matches) and Gwangju FC sit 12th (11 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 33 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy