Independência vs Humaitá: result 4-4 and analysis
Acreano2nd Phase - 2Kick-off on April 10, 2019 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Aquino Lopes, Rio Branco, Acre
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What was the result of Independência vs Humaitá?
Independência and Humaitá drew 4-4 on April 10, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Independência have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Humaitá have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2019 | Atlético Acreano(away) | 1-4 | Acreano |
| Mar 27, 2019 | Rio Branco(home) | 1-4 | Acreano |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Atlético Acreano(away) | 2-2 | Acreano |
| Mar 7, 2019 | Vasco da Gama AC(away) | 4-2 | Acreano |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Plácido de Castro(home) | 1-1 | Acreano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | Andirá(home) | 1-2 | Acreano |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Rio Branco(home) | 3-3 | Acreano |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Atlético Acreano(away) | 0-6 | Acreano |
| Mar 15, 2019 | Náuas(home) | 0-1 | Acreano |
| Feb 28, 2019 | São Francisco(away) | 2-1 | Acreano |
How many goals should we expect?
Independência score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Humaitá score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independência | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 6/8 | 5/8 |
| Humaitá | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independência sit 5th in Acreano (7 points from 7 matches) and Humaitá sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Humaitá | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Independência | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy