Independiente del Valle vs Emelec: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 8, 2012 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
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What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?
Independiente del Valle won 2-1 on April 8, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 13′16766Independiente del Valle
- 45′16691Independiente del Valle
- 52′F. GaiborEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Emelec have 5, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 29, 2012 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Manta FC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 18, 2012 | CD Olmedo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | LDU Loja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 18, 2012 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2012 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 9; Emelec score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 3/9 | 2/9 |
| Emelec | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (67 points from 26 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy