Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 12Kick-off on April 9, 2016 at 07:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellin won 4-2 on April 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. HernándezIndependiente Medellin
- 21′J. CaicedoIndependiente Medellin
- 45′S. RomeroAlianza Valledupar (pen.)
- 53′J. CaicedoIndependiente Medellin
- 73′J. CaicedoIndependiente Medellin
- 85′S. RomeroAlianza Valledupar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 1, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Patriotas(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | Huila(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 21, 2016 | Bucaramanga(home) | 3-6 | Primera A |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Cortulua(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Envigado(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 11; Alianza Valledupar score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.3 | 0.8 | 4 | 5/11 | 4/11 |
| Alianza Valledupar | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy