Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - Quadrangular - 2Kick-off on November 19, 2023 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Independiente Medellin won 2-1 on November 19, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 7′S. MosqueraIndependiente Medellin (o.g.)
- 27′B. LeónIndependiente Medellin
- 90′JaderAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | America de Cali(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Union Magdalena(away) | 4-0 | Primera A |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | Millonarios(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 3-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Medellin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Atletico Nacional 1-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 1-3 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Atletico Nacional 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Independiente Medellin 4-3 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin on Oct 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy