Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 16Kick-off on April 12, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Atletico Nacional won 2-3 on April 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. CatañoIndependiente Medellin
- 7′A. SarmientoAtletico Nacional
- 10′J. RengifoAtletico Nacional
- 26′D. LondoñoIndependiente Medellin
- 90′J. OrtizAtletico Nacional (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 30, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Junior(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Independiente Medellin win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Atletico Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Atletico Nacional | Copa Colombia |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 0-0 Independiente Medellin | Copa Colombia |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 5-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 3-3 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional on Dec 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy