Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 20Kick-off on May 29, 2017 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Independiente Medellin won 4-3 on May 29, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 11′D. MorenoAtletico Nacional
- 61′A. MosqueraIndependiente Medellin
- 65′C. MarrugoIndependiente Medellin
- 74′R. QuiñónesAtletico Nacional
- 78′J. QuinteroIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
- 82′D. MorenoAtletico Nacional (pen.)
- 89′J. ValenciaIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2017 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 14, 2017 | America de Cali(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| May 10, 2017 | Jaguares(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 8, 2017 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Junior(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2017 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| May 13, 2017 | Patriotas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 12, 2017 | Tigres FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| May 6, 2017 | Cortulua(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Independiente Medellin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atletico Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Atletico Nacional 3-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Atletico Nacional 1-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 7, 2016 | Atletico Nacional 1-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin on Mar 19, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.6 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.6 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 26, 2017Patriotas3-1Envigado
- May 27, 2017Deportes Tolima1-1Internacional de Bogota
- May 27, 2017Águilas Doradas0-1Jaguares
- May 27, 2017Santa Fe1-1Alianza Valledupar
- May 27, 2017Deportivo Cali1-1Millonarios
- May 27, 2017Bucaramanga1-0America de Cali
- May 28, 2017Tigres FC0-1Huila
- May 28, 2017Deportivo Pasto1-2Junior