Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 10Kick-off on March 20, 2016 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional drew 1-1 on March 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 4′M. MolinaIndependiente Medellin
- 64′A. IbargüenAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 5, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Patriotas(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 24, 2016 | Huila(away) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Once Caldas(away) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 17, 2016 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Jaguares(away) | 3-0 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 9; Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4 | 4/9 | 4/9 |
| Atletico Nacional | 2.0 | 0.5 | 4 | 1/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy