Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
Independiente Medellin won 3-1 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′A. ArroyoFortaleza FC
- 24′F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin
- 55′B. LeónIndependiente Medellin
- 63′F. ChaverraIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | Once Caldas(away) | 5-1 | Primera A |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Santa Fe(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Chico(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Llaneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Millonarios(away) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Medellin win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Fortaleza FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 2-1 Fortaleza FC | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 0-0 Independiente Medellin | Copa Colombia |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 0-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Fortaleza FC 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Fortaleza FC 2-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC on Sep 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortaleza FC | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 13 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2025Union Magdalena3-1Envigado
- Oct 18, 2025Chico0-0Santa Fe
- Oct 18, 2025Deportivo Pasto2-2Atletico Nacional
- Oct 18, 2025Águilas Doradas1-0Alianza Valledupar
- Oct 18, 2025Junior3-2Deportivo Pereira
- Oct 19, 2025Deportivo Cali0-2America de Cali
- Oct 19, 2025Llaneros2-0Once Caldas
- Oct 20, 2025Internacional de Bogota0-2Deportes Tolima