Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC: result 3-0 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 16Kick-off on May 2, 2016 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
Independiente Medellin won 3-0 on May 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
- 56′J. CaicedoIndependiente Medellin
- 58′C. MarrugoIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2016 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Jaguares(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 4-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2016 | Huila(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Cortulua(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Envigado(away) | 0-4 | Primera A |
| Apr 7, 2016 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 1-4 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza FC | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 12 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy