Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 4Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?
Independiente Medellin and Millonarios drew 2-2 on September 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′L. EscorciaMillonarios (o.g.)
- 39′H. PalaciosIndependiente Medellin
- 45′L. CastroMillonarios
- 53′N. ErazoIndependiente Medellin
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Independiente Medellin win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente Medellin
4-2-3-1- 32C. Lucumi
- 20J. Montaño
- 21A. Martegani
- 11Y. González
- 6D. Moreno
- 14B. Perlaza
- 26E. Mena
- 19A. Simarra
- 39L. Escorcia
- 30H. Palacios
- 25E. Chaux
Millonarios
4-1-3-2- 10D. Ruiz
- 23L. Castro
- 7J. Cuadrado
- 28S. Vega
- 13F. Chaverra
- 55Leonai
- 20D. Banguero
- 17J. Arias
- 4S. Barreiro
- 30S. del Castillo
- 1J. Burrai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Millonarios have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Junior(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chico(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 4-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chico(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Medellin wins, 2 draws, 1 Millonarios win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Millonarios 0-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 1-0 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Millonarios 0-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Millonarios 5-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 2-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Independiente Medellin on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 6th in Primera A (32 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 7th (30 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 30 |
A question about Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 8, 2026Santa Fe2-0Chico
- Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC2-0Cucuta
- Aug 8, 2026Deportes Tolima2-1Internacional de Bogota
- Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto0-2Deportivo Cali
- Aug 9, 2026Alianza Valledupar2-3Bucaramanga
- Aug 9, 2026Jaguares1-1Once Caldas
- Aug 10, 2026America de Cali1-0Atletico Nacional
- Aug 19, 2026Águilas Doradas1-1Llaneros