Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.: prediction and stats
Reserve LeagueClausura - 17Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Predio Independiente - Complejo Santo Domingo, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Res. the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lanús Res.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Independiente Res. wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?
On Elo ratings, Independiente Res. has 1,863 points and Lanús Res. 1,846.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Independiente Res.
Not enough data to predict the Independiente Res. lineup.
Lanús Res.
Not enough data to predict the Lanús Res. lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Res. have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Lanús Res. have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Newell's Old Boys Res.(away) | 2-2 | Reserve League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Defensa y Justicia Res.(home) | 4-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2(away) | 2-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Huracán Res.(home) | 3-0 | Reserve League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ferro 2(away) | 0-0 | Reserve League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Atl. Rafaela 2(home) | 4-2 | Reserve League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Platense Res.(away) | 3-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Quilmes 2(home) | 4-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Estudiantes La Plata Res(away) | 4-4 | Reserve League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Central Córdoba SdE Res.(home) | 3-0 | Reserve League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Independiente Res. wins, 2 draws, 2 Lanús Res. wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Lanús Res. 0-4 Independiente Res. | Reserve League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Independiente Res. 3-1 Lanús Res. | Reserve League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Lanús Res. 2-2 Independiente Res. | Reserve League |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Independiente Res. 1-1 Lanús Res. | Reserve League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Lanús Res. 2-0 Independiente Res. | Reserve League |
| May 27, 2023 | Lanús Res. 1-0 Independiente Res. | Reserve League |
Last archived meeting: Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res. on Jun 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Res. score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lanús Res. score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Res. | 2.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lanús Res. | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Res. sit 5th in Reserve League (36 points from 19 matches) and Lanús Res. sit 6th (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Independiente Res. | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Lanús Res. | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 35 |
A question about Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Res. the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lanús Res..
- Where and when is Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. played?
- Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. is played on November 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Predio Independiente - Complejo Santo Domingo, in the Reserve League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 10, 2026Atlético Tucumán Res.vsUnión Santa Fe Res.
- Nov 10, 2026Estudiantes La Plata ResvsSan Martín San Juan Res.
- Nov 10, 2026Tigre Res.vsVélez Sársfield Res.
- Nov 10, 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 2vsAldosivi Res.
- Nov 10, 2026Quilmes 2vsIndependiente Riva. Res.
- Nov 10, 2026Talleres Córdoba Res.vsSarmiento Res.
- Nov 11, 2026Atl. Rafaela 2vsBelgrano Córdoba Res.
- Nov 11, 2026Banfield Res.vsRacing Club Res.