Independiente vs Rosario Central: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Profesional Argentina2nd Phase - 16Kick-off on November 16, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Independiente vs Rosario Central?
Independiente won 1-0 on November 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′G. ÁvalosIndependiente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Rosario Central have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Platense(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 19, 2025 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Lanus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | San Lorenzo(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Instituto Cordoba(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Independiente win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rosario Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Rosario Central 1-1 Independiente | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Apr 13, 2023 | Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Independiente 0-0 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Rosario Central vs Independiente on May 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rosario Central score 1.2 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Rosario Central | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente sit 5th in Liga Profesional Argentina (24 points from 16 matches) and Rosario Central sit 4th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2025Lanus3-1Atletico Tucuman
- Nov 15, 2025Aldosivi4-2San Martin S.J.
- Nov 15, 2025Godoy Cruz1-1Deportivo Riestra
- Nov 15, 2025San Lorenzo1-1Sarmiento Junin
- Nov 16, 2025Instituto Cordoba0-0Talleres Cordoba
- Nov 16, 2025Velez Sarsfield0-0River Plate
- Nov 16, 2025Newells Old Boys0-1Racing Club
- Nov 16, 2025Estudiantes L.P.1-2Argentinos JRS