India vs Bhutan: prediction and stats
SAFF ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Shillong, Meghalaya
The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Bhutan. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,556 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win India vs Bhutan?
India starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,462 vs 1,206).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for India vs Bhutan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
India
4-2-3-1- 10R. Williams
- 9M. Singh
- 7A. Thapa
- 15L. Colaço
- 14J. Madathil Subran
- 16L. Fanai
- 6A. Mishra
- 2T. Singh
- 4B. Varghese
- 3P. Singh
- 1V. Kaith
Bhutan
3-4-3- 15Nima Wangdi
- 11Kinga Wangchuk
- 9K. Tenzin
- 10O. Tshering
- 14D. Tshering
- 7C. Gyeltshen
- 8P. Zangpo
- 4T. Norbu
- 2Y. Gyeltshen
- 6Sherub Dorji
- 21T. Dendup
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, India have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bhutan have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | New Zealand(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Maldives(home) | 1-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Pakistan(away) | 3-2 | SAFF Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sri Lanka(away) | 2-2 | SAFF Championship |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bangladesh(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Sri Lanka(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Cambodia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 India win, 0 draws, 0 Bhutan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | India 6-1 Bhutan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
India score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bhutan score 0.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bhutan | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
India sit 1st in SAFF Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Bhutan sit 2nd (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IndiaGroup B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | BhutanGroup A | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about India vs Bhutan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for India vs Bhutan?
- The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Bhutan.
- Where and when is India vs Bhutan played?
- India vs Bhutan is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the SAFF Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.