India vs Nepal: result 4-1 and analysis
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 27, 2015 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Shillong, Meghalaya
Full time
What was the result of India vs Nepal?
India won 4-1 on December 27, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 3′B. Gharti MagarNepal
- 26′R. BorgesIndia
- 68′S. ChhetriIndia
- 81′L. ChhangteIndia
- 90′L. ChhangteIndia
Official lineup for India vs Nepal
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
India
- 11S. Chhetri
- 7E. Lyngdoh
- 10B. Jairu
- 19H. Narzary
- 22R. Borges
- 46S. Pradhan
- 2A. Khongjee
- 3Augustin Melwyn Fernandes
- 20P. Kotal
- 21N. Das
- 1S. Paul
Nepal
- 9Anjan Bista
- 18N. Shrestha
- 25B. Gharti Magar
- 8B. Rai
- 11H. Gurung
- 30R. Chand
- 3B. Maharjan
- 6Aditya Chaudhary
- 19J. Karki
- 23R. Dhimal
- 16K. Chemjong
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, India have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Nepal have 3, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2015 | Sri Lanka(away) | 2-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Guam(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Oman(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Turkmenistan(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 8, 2015 | Iran(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2015 | Sri Lanka(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 17, 2015 | India(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | India(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Afghanistan(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 5, 2013 | India(away) | 2-1 | SAFF Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 India win, 1 draw, 1 Nepal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | Nepal 0-0 India | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | India 2-0 Nepal | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 5, 2013 | India 1-2 Nepal | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
India score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nepal score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nepal | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 2/10 | 2/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about India vs Nepal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy