Where and when is İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor played?

İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl

İnegölspor

Sakaryaspor

The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,768) and Sakaryaspor (1,672).

İnegölspor win52 %

Draw24 %

Sakaryaspor win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnegölspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Altınordu(away)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Elazığspor(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Adana 01 FK(away)	1-4	2. Lig

Sakaryaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Manisa F.K.(away)	0-5	1. Lig
Apr 26, 2026	Çorum FK(home)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 13, 2026	Esenler Erokspor(home)	1-2	1. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ümraniyespor(away)	0-2	1. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 İnegölspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sakaryaspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 28, 2025	Sakaryaspor 4-0 İnegölspor	Türkiye Kupası
Feb 27, 2022	Sakaryaspor 2-2 İnegölspor	2. Lig
Oct 23, 2021	İnegölspor 0-5 Sakaryaspor	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2019	Sakaryaspor 3-1 İnegölspor	2. Lig
Nov 11, 2018	İnegölspor 0-1 Sakaryaspor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Sakaryaspor vs İnegölspor on Oct 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
İnegölspor	1.6	1.3	5	9/15	10/15
Sakaryaspor	0.9	1.9	2	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	İnegölspor	36	16	12	8	67	44	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor?: The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor played?: İnegölspor vs Sakaryaspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.