Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes Inter Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Penya Encarnada. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
Inter Club d'Escaldes is a heavy favourite: 1,845 Elo points against 1,452, a 393-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Club d'Escaldes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Drita(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Inter Club d'Escaldes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penya Encarnada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-1 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 0-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Inter Club d'Escaldes 4-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| May 16, 2025 | Inter Club d'Escaldes 3-2 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 1-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Inter Club d'Escaldes 6-0 Penya Encarnada | Copa Constitució |
Last archived meeting: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Club d'Escaldes score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Club d'Escaldes sit 1st in 1a Divisió (54 points from 24 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 6th (24 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 24 | 54 |
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Penya Encarnada.
- Where and when is Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.