Internacional SC vs FC Porto: prediction and stats
Catarinense - 31st Phase - 4Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vidal Ramos Júnior, Lages, Santa Catarina
The Footlab model makes Internacional SC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for FC Porto. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional SC vs FC Porto?
Internacional SC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,613 vs 1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Porto have 2, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Figueirense(away) | 1-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Barra(home) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Criciuma(home) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Brusque(away) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Fluminense-SC(home) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tubarao(away) | 0-6 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Camboriú(away) | 1-3 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Metropolitano(home) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Blumenau(away) | 0-6 | Catarinense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional SC score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 0.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional SC | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Porto | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2 | 6/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional SC vs FC Porto?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional SC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for FC Porto.
- Where and when is Internacional SC vs FC Porto played?
- Internacional SC vs FC Porto is played on October 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Vidal Ramos Júnior, in the Catarinense - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.