Iraklis Therm. vs Makedonikos Neapolis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Makedonikos Neapolis. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Therm. vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
Iraklis Therm. starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Therm. have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Makedonikos Neapolis have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-5 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Makedonikos Neapolis | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Therm. vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Makedonikos Neapolis.
- Where and when is Iraklis Therm. vs Makedonikos Neapolis played?
- Iraklis Therm. vs Makedonikos Neapolis is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.