Match

Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Modi'in Municipal Stadium, Modi'in Makabim-Re'ut

Ironi Modi'inMaccabi Kiryat Gat

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Ironi Modi'in (1,707) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795).

Ironi Modi'in win27 %
Draw26 %
Maccabi Kiryat Gat win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Modi'in have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Modi'in
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)4-1Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away)2-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)0-1Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home)1-2Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)2-0Liga Leumit
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Yavne(home)2-1Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Modi'in0.90.954/153/15
Maccabi Kiryat Gat2.41.1312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Modi'in sit 8th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ironi Modi'in2101433
9Maccabi Kiryat Gat2101323

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Modi'in.
Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat played?
Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ironi Modi'in and Maccabi Kiryat Gat

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