Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 8Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Krasnaya Zvezda, Omsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Stavropol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Irtysh Omsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol?
Dinamo Stavropol starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Irtysh Omsk have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Dinamo Stavropol have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-6 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amkar(away) | 1-5 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tyumen(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Irtysh Omsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dinamo Stavropol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol 1-1 Irtysh Omsk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Irtysh Omsk score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Stavropol score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Omsk | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Dinamo Stavropol | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Irtysh Omsk sit 6th in Second League A - Division A Silver (4 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Stavropol sit 5th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Stavropol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Irtysh Omsk.
- Where and when is Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol played?
- Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol is played on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Krasnaya Zvezda, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.