Ischia vs Nocerina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella, Ischia
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ischia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nocerina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ischia vs Nocerina?
Nocerina starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ischia vs Nocerina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ischia
Not enough data to predict the Ischia lineup.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ischia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nocerina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ischia wins, 0 draws, 3 Nocerina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nocerina 3-2 Ischia | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Nocerina 0-1 Ischia | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ischia 2-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Nocerina 1-0 Ischia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Nocerina 1-2 Ischia | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Ischia 0-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Ischia score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischia | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ischia sit 16th in Serie D - Girone H (5 points from 7 matches) and Nocerina sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 16 | Ischia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Ischia vs Nocerina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ischia vs Nocerina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ischia.
- Where and when is Ischia vs Nocerina played?
- Ischia vs Nocerina is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.