İskenderunspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, Hatay
The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İskenderunspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate İskenderunspor (1,723) and 1461 Trabzon FK (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İskenderunspor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 İskenderunspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1461 Trabzon FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK 0-0 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 10, 2024 | İskenderunspor 1-1 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Jun 3, 2023 | İskenderunspor 0-1 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| May 30, 2023 | 1461 Trabzon FK 1-3 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 4, 2023 | İskenderunspor 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Sep 14, 2022 | 1461 Trabzon FK 0-1 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: 1461 Trabzon FK vs İskenderunspor on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İskenderunspor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| 1461 Trabzon FK | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İskenderunspor sit 8th in 2. Lig (56 points from 36 matches) and 1461 Trabzon FK sit 11th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 56 |
| 11 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İskenderunspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
- The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
- Where and when is İskenderunspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?
- İskenderunspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.