Istiqlol vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya: result 0-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoFinalKick-off on November 4, 2017 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 0-1 on November 4, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 68′Emad MohsinAl Quwa Al Jawiya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Al Quwa Al Jawiya have 5, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2017 | Khujand(home) | 5-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 18, 2017 | Bengaluru(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Bengaluru(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 18, 2017 | Panjsher(away) | 5-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Ceres(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2017 | Al Wahda(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Al Wahda(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 29, 2017 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 22, 2017 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 2, 2017 | Al-Hidd(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 3.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 1.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 3.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6 | 4/10 | 2/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy