Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat: result 0-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat?
Al Wihdat won 0-1 on October 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 52′Baha' FaisalAl Wihdat
Official lineup for Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Istiqlol
4-1-4-1- 45D. Mitkov
- 11S. Mabatshoev
- 10A. Dzhalilov
- 6A. Juraboev
- 17E. Panjshanbe
- 80Murilo Souza
- 19A. Nazarov
- 5S. Qurbonov
- 21O. Larin
- 44M. Millar
- 1N. Stošić
Al Wihdat
5-4-1- 20Baha' Faisal
- 11Mohannad Jehad Semreen
- 8Mahmoud Aqel
- 6Amer Jamous
- 77Ousseynou Cesar Gueye
- 21Mustafa Eid
- 4Danial Afaneh
- 23Yousef Abu Al Jazar
- 2Arafat Mohammad Fahid
- 16Feras Shilbaya
- 99Abdallah Al Fakhouri
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Al Wihdat have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2024 | Sepahan FC(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Sharjah FC(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Khujand(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Kuktosh(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Istaravshan(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Ordon(away) | 2-0 | League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Aqaba(home) | 3-1 | Shield Cup |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Al Jazeera(away) | 1-0 | Shield Cup |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Sharjah FC(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Al Ahli(home) | 2-1 | League |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Wihdat score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Wihdat | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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