Istiqlol vs Al Zawra'a: result 2-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2025 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Al Zawra'a?
Istiqlol won 2-1 on October 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′I. GbadamosiAl Zawra'a
- 20′606295Istiqlol
- 84′P. KomolafeIstiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al Zawra'a have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Goa(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 11, 2025 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Panjsher(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Al Talaba(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Goa(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy