Istiqlol vs Alay: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on April 11, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Alay?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on April 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 48′F. FatkhulloevIstiqlol (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Alay have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2018 | Kuktosh(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 1, 2018 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Khatlon(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 7, 2018 | Ahal(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | Ilbirs(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2018 | Ahal(away) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 7, 2018 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 3-6 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Neftchi(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2017 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Istiqlol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Alay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2017 | Alay 1-4 Istiqlol | AFC Champions League Two |
| Apr 18, 2017 | Istiqlol 3-1 Alay | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alay score 2.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alay | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy