Istiqlol vs Alay: result 3-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on April 18, 2017 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Alay?
Istiqlol won 3-1 on April 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 45′N. DavronovIstiqlol (pen.)
- 59′Alia SyllaAlay
- 68′David Gordon MawutorIstiqlol
- 89′Dilshod VasievIstiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Alay have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2017 | Panjsher(home) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 11, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 8-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2017 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Neftchi(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Dordoi Bishkek(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 3.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alay score 2.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 3.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Alay | 2.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy