Istiqlol vs Ceres: result 4-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoInter-zonal Semi-FinalsKick-off on August 22, 2017 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Ceres?
Istiqlol won 4-0 on August 22, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′A. NazarovIstiqlol (pen.)
- 45′R. DzhalilovIstiqlol
- 67′M. DzhalilovIstiqlol
- 88′M. DzhalilovIstiqlol
Official lineup for Istiqlol vs Ceres
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Istiqlol
- 10D. Barkov
- 63M. Dzhalilov
- 4David Gordon Mawutor
- 18F. Fatkhulloev
- 20A. Juraboev
- 21R. Dzhalilov
- 2Siyovush Asrorov
- 5A. Baranovskyi
- 19A. Nazarov
- 27O. Stetsenko
- 1N. Stošić
Ceres
- 7B. Marañón
- 10J. Porteria
- 11I. Ramsay
- 6K. Ingreso
- 8M. Ott
- 12S. Schröck
- 3K. Kawase
- 14C. de Murga
- 17Junior Muñoz
- 28Jeffrey Mallen Christiaens
- 1Roland Richard Guaves Müller
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Ceres have 5, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2017 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 3, 2017 | Khatlon(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 29, 2017 | Khatlon(away) | 5-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 25, 2017 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 4-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 21, 2017 | Panjsher(away) | 6-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2017 | Home United(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 2, 2017 | Home United(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 31, 2017 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 17, 2017 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 2-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 3, 2017 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 4-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ceres score 2.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ceres | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Istiqlol vs Ceres?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy