Istiqlol vs Eskhata: result 4-2 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaChampionship Round - 4Kick-off on December 12, 2023 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Eskhata?
Istiqlol won 4-2 on December 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 35′A. DzhalilovIstiqlol (pen.)
- 40′?Eskhata
- 50′?Eskhata
- 63′A. DzhalilovIstiqlol
- 86′?Istiqlol
- 90′S. SebaiIstiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Eskhata have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | Ravshan(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Kuktosh(away) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Persepolis FC(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | Fayzkand(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Kuktosh(away) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Khatlon(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Khujand(away) | 3-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Istiqlol wins, 1 draw, 0 Eskhata wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2023 | Eskhata 0-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Istiqlol 5-0 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Eskhata 1-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Istiqlol 2-0 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Eskhata 0-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Istiqlol 5-1 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Eskhata score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Eskhata | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 2nd in Vysshaya Liga (37 points from 17 matches) and Eskhata sit 9th (19 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Istiqlol | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 19 |
A question about Istiqlol vs Eskhata?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy