Istiqlol vs Khatlon: result 3-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on April 11, 2019 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Khatlon?
Istiqlol won 3-1 on April 11, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Khatlon have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2019 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Khujand(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Olmaliq(away) | 2-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 7, 2018 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2019 | Khujand(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 11, 2018 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 7, 2018 | Khujand(home) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Barki Tajik(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Istiqlol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Khatlon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Khatlon 1-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Istiqlol 1-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Khatlon 1-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 3, 2017 | Istiqlol 1-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 29, 2017 | Khatlon 1-5 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 24, 2017 | Istiqlol 2-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Khatlon score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Khatlon | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Khatlon sit 8th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy