Istiqlol vs Khatlon: result 3-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 4, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Khatlon?
Istiqlol won 3-1 on May 4, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Khatlon have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2011 | Ravshan(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 26, 2011 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 22, 2011 | Parvoz(away) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 16, 2011 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 13, 2011 | Barki Tajik(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2011 | Shodmon Gissar(away) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2011 | Xayr(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 21, 2011 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 13, 2011 | Ravshan(away) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 5; Khatlon score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0/5 | 3/5 |
| Khatlon | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Khatlon sit 8th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy