Istiqlol vs Khosilot Farkhor: result 1-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Khosilot Farkhor?
Istiqlol and Khosilot Farkhor drew 1-1 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. DzhalilovIstiqlol
- 83′543095Khosilot Farkhor
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Khosilot Farkhor have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Ravshan(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Sepahan FC(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Barki Tajik(away) | 5-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Barki Tajik(home) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Istiqlol(home) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Khatlon(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Istaravshan(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Istiqlol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Khosilot Farkhor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | Khosilot Farkhor 3-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Istiqlol 3-1 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 19, 2023 | Istiqlol 5-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 27, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor 1-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 12, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-0 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Khosilot Farkhor vs Istiqlol on Nov 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Khosilot Farkhor score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Khosilot Farkhor | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Khosilot Farkhor sit 2nd (28 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Khosilot Farkhor | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy