Istiqlol vs Lokomotive Pamir: result 1-0 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on July 12, 2020 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Lokomotive Pamir?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on July 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 44′?Istiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Lokomotive Pamir have 1, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2020 | Fayzkand(away) | 4-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Khujand(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Istaravshan(home) | 8-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 16, 2020 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 6-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2020 | Kuktosh(home) | 6-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2020 | Khujand(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Istaravshan(away) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2020 | Kuktosh(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 26, 2020 | Khatlon(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 3.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Pamir score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 3.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokomotive Pamir | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy