Match

Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin: prediction and stats

HNLMatchday 33Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula

Istra 1961NK Varazdin

The Footlab AI model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for NK Varazdin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istra 1961 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Istra 1961 (1,980) and NK Varazdin (1,984).

38%28%34%
Istra 1961 winDrawNK Varazdin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1
  1. 94H. Jaganjac
  1. 25G. Albarracín
  2. 22E. Frederiksen
  3. 20D. Ahmeti
  4. 5D. Hodzic
  5. 30N. Skafar Zuzic
  1. 44R. Hrvatin
  2. 13Niko Šepić
  3. 3M. Nasraoui
  4. 4R. Kumar
  1. 1F. Kolić

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1
  1. 21I. Posavec
  1. 10A. Latković
  2. 22L. Mamić
  3. 38Iuri Tavares
  4. 28I. Canjuga
  5. 8T. Duvnjak
  1. 23F. Maglica
  2. 14R. Punčec
  3. 13M. Mladenovski
  4. 5Sven Lesjak
  1. 33J. Silić

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istra 1961 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; NK Varazdin have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Istra 1961
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026HNK Rijeka(home)3-1HNL
Nov 3, 2026Neretva Metković(home)3-0Cup
Oct 30, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)2-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(home)2-2HNL
Oct 17, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)0-2HNL
NK Varazdin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Dinamo Zagreb(home)1-3HNL
Nov 1, 2026HNK Rijeka(away)1-1HNL
Oct 28, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(home)1-2HNL
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)0-1HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Istra 1961 wins, 2 draws, 1 NK Varazdin win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 4, 2026NK Varazdin 0-0 Istra 1961HNL
May 23, 2026NK Varazdin 2-0 Istra 1961HNL
Mar 20, 2026Istra 1961 2-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Dec 19, 2025NK Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961HNL
Oct 3, 2025Istra 1961 1-0 NK VarazdinHNL
May 11, 2025Istra 1961 0-0 NK VarazdinHNL

Last archived meeting: NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 on Sep 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; NK Varazdin score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Istra 19612.11.358/1511/15
NK Varazdin1.51.068/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Istra 1961 sit 4th in HNL (19 points from 13 matches) and NK Varazdin sit 5th (19 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Istra 196113544241919
5NK Varazdin13544171419

A question about Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
The Footlab AI model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for NK Varazdin.
Where and when is Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin played?
Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aldo Drosina, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin