Italy U19 vs Romania U19: prediction and stats
UEFA U19 Championship - QualificationGroup StageKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Italy U19 the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Romania U19. The most likely score is 1-1. If Italy U19 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
Italy U19 starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,565).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Italy U19 vs Romania U19
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Italy U19
4-3-3- 9J. Iddrissou
- 11M. Mosconi
- 17D. Elimoghale
- 8E. Sala
- 7F. Coletta
- 15S. Wiafe
- 4F. Nardin
- 5A. Natali
- 13F. Verde
- 6C. De Paoli
- 22M. Pessina
Romania U19
4-3-3- 20Fernando Pellegrini
- 9A. Stoian
- 19Iustin Doicaru
- 15Rares Coman
- 18H. Batzula
- 10A. Bota
- 2C. Gheorghe
- 3F. Badarau
- 4Raul Cojocariu
- 14C. Vechiu
- 1Razvan Farcas
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U19 have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Romania U19 have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Croatia U19(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Ukraine U19(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U19 Championship |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Croatia U19(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U19 Championship |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Serbia U19(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U19 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U19(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bulgaria U19(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Hungary U19(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ukraine U19(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Denmark U19(home) | 2-2 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Northern Ireland U19(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Italy U19 win, 0 draws, 0 Romania U19 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2022 | Italy U19 2-1 Romania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Italy U19 vs Romania U19 on Jun 18, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Italy U19 score 1.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Romania U19 score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U19 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Romania U19 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy U19 sit 1st in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Romania U19 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U19Group 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 1 | Romania U19Group 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
- The Footlab AI model makes Italy U19 the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Romania U19.
- Where and when is Italy U19 vs Romania U19 played?
- Italy U19 vs Romania U19 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.