Italy vs Poland: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Poland?
Italy won 2-0 on November 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 27′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
- 83′D. BerardiItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Poland have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Estonia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Ukraine(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Italy(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Finland(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland 0-0 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Poland 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 3.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 3.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy