Italy vs Poland: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Poland?
Italy won 2-0 on November 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 27′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
- 83′D. BerardiItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Poland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 10L. Insigne
- 9A. Belotti
- 20F. Bernardeschi
- 5M. Locatelli
- 8Jorginho
- 18N. Barella
- 3Emerson
- 19A. Bastoni
- 15F. Acerbi
- 16A. Florenzi
- 21G. Donnarumma
Poland
4-2-3-1- 9R. Lewandowski
- 21K. Jóźwiak
- 8K. Linetty
- 19S. Szymański
- 17J. Moder
- 10G. Krychowiak
- 16A. Reca
- 5J. Bednarek
- 15K. Glik
- 18B. Bereszyński
- 1W. Szczęsny
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Poland have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Estonia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Ukraine(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Italy(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Finland(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Italy win, 2 draws, 0 Poland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland 0-0 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Poland 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 3.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 3.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Poland sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | PolandGroup D | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Italy vs Poland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy