Italy vs Spain: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 2Kick-off on October 6, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
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What was the result of Italy vs Spain?
Italy and Spain drew 1-1 on October 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 55′VitoloSpain
- 82′D. De RossiItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Spain have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2016 | Israel(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 2, 2016 | Germany(away) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Spain(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2016 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Sweden(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2016 | Liechtenstein(home) | 8-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Türkiye(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Czechia(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain 4-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Spain 1-1 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2008 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spain | 2.4 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (18 points from 8 matches) and Spain sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy