Italy vs Spain: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on July 6, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Wembley Stadium, London
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What was the result of Italy vs Spain?
Italy and Spain drew 1-1 on July 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 60′F. ChiesaItaly
- 80′Álvaro MorataSpain
- 120′A. BelottiItaly (pen.)
- 120′Gerard MorenoSpain (pen.)
- 120′L. BonucciItaly (pen.)
- 120′Thiago AlcântaraSpain (pen.)
- 120′F. BernardeschiItaly (pen.)
- 120′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Spain have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Austria(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Croatia(away) | 5-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Slovakia(away) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2021 | Sweden(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2017 | Spain 3-0 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Italy 1-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain 4-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Spain 1-1 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.5 and concede 0.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.5 | 0.2 | 12 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Spain | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Spain sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy