Italy vs Sweden: result 1-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 17, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
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What was the result of Italy vs Sweden?
Italy won 1-0 on June 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 88′ÉderItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Sweden
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
3-5-2- 17Éder
- 9G. Pellè
- 8A. Florenzi
- 23Emanuele Giaccherini
- 16D. De Rossi
- 18M. Parolo
- 6A. Candreva
- 3G. Chiellini
- 19L. Bonucci
- 15Andrea Barzagli
- 1G. Buffon
Sweden
4-4-2- 10Z. Ibrahimović
- 20J. Guidetti
- 6E. Forsberg
- 9K. Källström
- 8A. Ekdal
- 7S. Larsson
- 5M. Olsson
- 4A. Granqvist
- 3E. Berg
- 14V. Lindelöf
- 1A. Isaksson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sweden have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2014 | Uruguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2014 | Costa Rica(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2014 | England(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2013 | Uruguay(away) | 4-4 | Confederations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2016 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2012 | France(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2012 | England(home) | 2-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2012 | Ukraine(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2008 | Russia(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sweden | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Italy vs Sweden?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy