Italy vs Wales: result 1-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup A - 3Kick-off on June 20, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Wales?
Italy won 1-0 on June 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 39′M. PessinaItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Wales
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 14F. Chiesa
- 9A. Belotti
- 20F. Bernardeschi
- 6M. Verratti
- 8Jorginho
- 12M. Pessina
- 13Emerson
- 23A. Bastoni
- 19L. Bonucci
- 25R. Tolói
- 21G. Donnarumma
Wales
3-4-3- 20D. James
- 10A. Ramsey
- 11G. Bale
- 3N. Williams
- 7J. Allen
- 16J. Morrell
- 14C. Roberts
- 2C. Gunter
- 15E. Ampadu
- 6J. Rodon
- 12D. Ward
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Wales have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2021 | San Marino(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Lithuania(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Albania(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2021 | France(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.7 and concede 0.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.7 | 0.1 | 13 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| Wales | 0.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Italy vs Wales?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy