Italy vs Wales: result 1-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup A - 3Kick-off on June 20, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Wales?
Italy won 1-0 on June 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 39′M. PessinaItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Wales have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2021 | San Marino(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Lithuania(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Albania(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2021 | France(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.7 and concede 0.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.7 | 0.1 | 13 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| Wales | 0.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy